Energy Empires in Collision PDF À Energy Empires

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Energy Empires in Collision This is a very good book explaining the disconnect between the traditional energy fossil fuel industries and the green lobby renewable sector The author provides a good overview of the current energy landscape and what is actually taking place I work in the energy sector in the US and the expectations from the public about the inevitable displacing of fossil fuels with renewables in the next decade or two are widely optimistic Recommend this book for those wanting a good summary of current energy issues. The energy world is dangerously divided between the fossil fuel producers and the environmentalists It s a vicious head on fight between the world we currently live in and the low carbon future for which and governments and peoples are aiming It is a fight that affects everything world poverty, the rise and fall of governments, environmental catastrophe, the largest businesses in the world and your ability to work, to get the kids to school and to heat your home It is a fight that, as things stand, no one can win Here, David Howell Lord Howell of Guildford outlines the how we go here and the challenges ahead Having studied the whole energy issue extensively, I have to take a different standpoint from David Howell, i.e that it is not possible or helpful to avoid the collision of the fossil fuel empire with the green renewables empire.His wish is to resolve how to have an energy system which solves the trilemma of being 1 affordable, 2 reliable and 3 with low emissions of carbon dioxide CO2 For example, coal and gas power stations only solve reliability and affordability needs whilst wind farms only reduce CO2 In passing, many believe as I do that for technical reasons, wind farms increase CO2 anyway but that is a big subject beyond the scope of this review.However, firstly, I must mention the editing I do not think I have ever read a book with mistakes of grammar, punctuation and spelling Although virtually every page is affected in a way which disturbs the reader, the book is still an important contribution to this world problem and should be widely read for that reason Nor should the reader be put off by the repetition.The underlying theme is that in a world of fossil fuels which are essential to prosperity for all countries, that empire can never beat the green renewables empire and vice versa Instead, the best future for mankind lies in co operation between the two, i.e let s avoid the collision.Why do I say that it is not possible or helpful to avoid the collision The first reason is that both sides have their motivations and hard line supporters who have no wish to compromise On the one hand, we have the commercial vested interests and countries who want reliable and affordable energy supplies in order to promote prosperity This means fossil fuels On the other, we have the grant incentivised scientists and left wing environmental activists who have tried to make the case for climate alarmism This means the UN, the IPCC and the case for renewables The second reason is that there is no future for an international energy policy consensus that has a false foundation More on this below.Why is there no appetite to compromise Firstly, the fossil fuel industry has the ear of all governments for the simple reason that it provides reliable and affordable electricity generation mainly coal and gas , transport oil and heating gas Secondly, for political reasons, the green lobby is only interested in promoting the global warming or climate change hypothesis It may be expensive energy, but we need it to save the planet The political background is that the left wing still wished to be anti capitalist after the fall of the Berlin Wall and so moved over from openly supporting communism to engage in political environmentalism.The actual result from the opposition of these two forces is the widespread and increasing use of fossil fuels on the ground whilst governments pay lip service to the powerful greens David Howell gives plenty of facts to support this being the actual result but does not get to grips very well with how his compromise solution could work My view is that it can never work.The biggest problem of the book is its routine acceptance of a false foundation, i.e the lack of evidence for mankind s carbon dioxide CO2 emissions causing dangerous global warming or climate change The author has simply adopted the IPCC s unrealistic claim that the world can and must hold down its average temperature to a maximum increase of 2 degrees Celsius He refers to 2050 as the target date for that maximum increase although the real date is the end of the present century But this does not affect the principle of the thing The author does not appear to appreciate that the governments of the world should not impose ruinously expensive green policies upon their peoples when there is no evidence to justify such policies A few points to keep in mind 1 The only support for these policies is provided by computer models which have been consistently wrong and are therefore discredited They always exaggerate compared to real world observations.2 There are many eminent scientists who totally reject climate alarmism and say that world climate is very changeable and caused almost completely by natural factors only The greens claim of scientific consensus is not true See for example the Manhattan Declaration on Climate Change.3 Man s impact is too small to measure and therefore not significant It just cannot be shown that limiting fossil fuel use would have any measurable impact at all on either temperature or climate.4 CO2 is not a pollutant but a life force and its increase greatly encourages crop yields There is no sense in undertaking carbon capture and storage even if the technology existed and it was affordable Neither of these apply.Turning to the book s strengths, there is a lot of key information about the real world Germany s disastrous decisions about the nuclear closedown, the solar panel expansion and the new lignite coal stations are explained The failure, of the Kyoto deal to deliver anything like its targets and the way in which the Paris one 2015 will have the same outcome, is made clear.The great US oil and gas revival, due to fracking, is contrasted with the European reluctance to embrace the potential for its own low cost energy For instance, this country is saddled with a micro controlled high cost electricity supply, which is becoming increasingly unreliable Coal stations are being closed down thus losing secure generation.Wind farms are no substitute due to their very heavy costs and the small amounts of unreliable and intermittent electricity which can be produced Although a number of green options have already been axed in the UK, much remains to be done if the lights are to stay on.The author clearly has a good grasp of how the energy problem works in different countries His suggestions about the loss of control by OPEC and how Russia might be affected was particularly interesting Examples of the law of unintended consequences are also important, e.g the little known point of America s reductions in emissions due to changing over from coal high CO2 to gas low CO2 stations Yet always, there is the false acceptance that CO2 must be reduced It may be time to give my basic overview this is a book with much valuable factual information and insight but lacking a major element, i.e any understanding of the folly of adopting expensive green policies without evidence to justify them Put another way, there is no trilemma because there is no proven need to reduce CO2 emissions Without that third item, there is only the dilemma of producing reliable and affordable energy Even that does not exist because fossil fuels with a terrific long term ground supply have already solved it.However, staying with the trilemma for now, the author hopes for the huge costs of wind and solar power to fall with improved technology and thus become competitive with coal and gas They won t fall in my view due to the inherent enormous costs of renewable low density energy Without such cost reductions, there can be no real compromise or co operation between the two empires because renewables will always be unaffordable and unreliable.The real world of power hungry developing countries leads me to a different conclusion from the hopes of the author that, like it or not, fossil fuels are destined to be the winning empire. Well written.. Clear, concise analysis of the unnecessary clash between the fossil fuel and green technologies Accurate description of what is happening and the reality that energy is at the core of the quality of life for all of us on the planet. This is an interesting and comprehensive look at energy issues However, it suffers from some very general comments and from a lack of detail to back up some claims It raises a crucial issue which is that green energies will only succeed globally if their costs come down and can compete on a full cost basis with fossil fuels However, the main debate between green advocates and the fossil fuel industry seems a little bit of a caricature, although one has to listen to Mr Howell s claims as he worked in government and experienced first hand this conflict It is unfortunate to say that I doubt the shelf life of this book will be very long given some of the issues it raises are already being dealt with.Last but not least, a major drawback to this book is the amount of typos and spelling mistakes as previously stated by some reviewers It is quite shocking and one wonders if this book has been properly edited by anyone. What a book Want to know the truth about wind power Read this It s a shocker